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3, while non-ICU medical/surgical beds trended toward R0=1.5. The model accurately predicted peak ICU (n=25 and hospital bed (n=487) usage by April 6, 2020. In response to model trends, Ochsner added 130 ICU beds across its hospitals by opening a new ICU and converting operating rooms and parts of emergency departments to ICU beds. Conclusion When disease testing is limited or results are delayed, ICU admissions data can inform SIR models of the rate of spread of COVID-19 in a community. Our model used various R0 plots to demonstrate a
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