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Under-5 Mortality rates have been decreasing across Africa for the past two decades. Contributing factors include policy changes, technology, and health investments. This study identifies sub-populations that have experienced more-than-expected change in mortality rates (either increasing or decreasing) during this time period. We train under-5 mortality predictive models on Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) datasets from the early 2000s and apply those models to data collected in more recent versions of the survey. This provides an est